Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 4.540986 5.037746 5.568781 6.179178 6.862039 7.603130 8.469280
2026-01-25 3.680263 4.353876 5.124810 6.074502 7.215869 8.547065 10.222667
2026-02-01 3.082871 3.844417 4.766330 5.969286 7.504533 9.407551 11.959589
2026-02-08 2.645701 3.448634 4.467808 5.864374 7.740816 10.192282 13.666255
2026-02-15 2.335407 3.163148 4.257944 5.823731 8.024986 11.037854 15.522884
2026-02-22 2.147221 3.010249 4.194857 5.956154 8.536672 12.222784 17.965433
2026-03-01 1.944436 2.810087 4.037912 5.927557 8.800197 13.064096 19.985785
2026-03-08 1.734967 2.575910 3.803998 5.753247 8.816316 13.523002 21.453981
2026-03-15 1.588253 2.418384 3.664322 5.700220 9.001344 14.243492 23.397426
2026-03-22 1.505261 2.348680 3.648593 5.833629 9.486809 15.478398 26.315634
2026-03-29 1.432129 2.286517 3.636685 5.967791 9.980339 16.767266 29.464307
2026-04-05 1.344349 2.192211 3.563299 5.989883 10.281211 17.751103 32.174341
2026-04-12 1.245989 2.074163 3.443936 5.927835 10.439013 18.517662 34.613388
2026-04-19 1.151966 1.955707 3.313969 5.835004 10.532260 19.177598 36.933922
2026-04-26 1.066783 1.845354 3.188392 5.737412 10.605078 19.803859 39.261631
2026-05-03 0.989923 1.743277 3.068567 5.638253 10.662777 20.402977 41.602158
2026-05-10 0.929382 1.665540 2.985729 5.599902 10.831990 21.233480 44.522744
2026-05-17 0.897007 1.636632 2.989522 5.727138 11.340016 22.794241 49.209322
2026-05-24 0.847015 1.570724 2.918437 5.699844 11.529282 23.713537 52.584883
2026-05-31 0.784139 1.475513 2.783951 5.532762 11.409703 23.963022 54.453443
2026-06-07 0.740321 1.413889 2.709730 5.481937 11.530825 24.742650 57.659880
2026-06-14 0.719693 1.396298 2.720877 5.609872 12.052161 26.463216 63.364630
2026-06-21 0.700246 1.379530 2.732141 5.738513 12.586904 28.270054 69.528019